Oddsnews: Polymarket vs News

What does the news say about the price?

Oddsnews puts two numbers side by side for every outcome of the top Polymarket markets: the market's price, and a news-implied probability built from what thousands of outlets wrote today. When the two agree, the price is backed by the press. When they drift apart, you know where to look.

Every hour, every market
A language model reads each relevant article against the market's outcomes. The reads are aggregated and turned into a probability, refreshed every hour. You get the result, not the homework.

Follow what matters to you
Tap the bell on any market and you are notified whenever the news on it moves: a surge in coverage, a shift in sentiment, a widening gap with the price. Every alert comes with the headline that caused it and a link to the article.

Lists that mean something
Moving now. News vs price. Best trackers. Most active. Resolving soon. Switch between sixteen ways to rank the same markets, or search the whole archive, closed markets included.

Charts built for probabilities
Market and news on the same chart, on a probability scale that shows a one-point move at 8% as clearly as a three-point move at 50%. Tap an outcome to zoom in. Scrub the chart to read any moment.

Honest by design
How well does the news actually track each market? Oddsnews tells you, per market, instead of pretending. A gap between news and price is a description of the press, not a forecast.

News analysis by Thinking Text (thinkingtext.com): what the news says about every outcome, next to the price, every hour, with the articles behind each move. Oddsnews is not affiliated with Polymarket, does not let you trade or bet, and gives no advice of any kind: news analysis for research and entertainment, not a forecast, not a trading signal and not investment advice.